How MLBs Tankathon Is Skewing The Trade Market

Astros158699.291.621.12.2 Diamondbacks153287.347.5%4.7%1.2 Giants149879.53.70.20.1 Royals141461.00.00.00.0 Major League Baseball’s annual trade deadline — this year’s version of which falls at 4 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday — is an annual chance for teams to take stock of their short- and long-term future plans. As our research has shown in the past, World Series front-runners should generally be willing to give up quite a large bushel of future assets in exchange for talent that might bring them a ring in the here and now. Meanwhile, teams on the fringe of the playoffs should be relatively indifferent between playing for the future or the present, and bottom-feeders should frantically sell everything they can.Those guidelines become apparent when we run our “Doyle Number” statistic for this season’s teams. As a quick refresher, the Doyle Number1Named after the infamous 1987 trade in which the Detroit Tigers sent future Hall of Famer John Smoltz, then a 20-year-old prospect, to the Atlanta Braves for 36-year-old Doyle Alexander. represents how many future wins of talent a team should be willing to part with to acquire 1 extra win of rental talent over the remainder of this season (including the playoffs).So the Boston Red Sox, who have the highest Doyle Number in baseball, should be willing to trade away up to 2.2 wins of future talent in exchange for every 1 win of talent they acquire for this year’s stretch run — they’re clear deadline buyers. By contrast, teams with Doyle numbers around zero are obvious sellers — they have no reason to give up future talent to acquire extra wins this season. Finally, a Doyle of 1.0 means a team could swing either way between buying and selling.Here are this year’s Doyle Numbers (as of July 30): Yankees158398.677.517.22.1 Red Sox1591100.296.7%23.8%2.2 Rangers148276.10.00.00.0 Reds147975.40.20.00.0 Cubs155692.479.311.71.9 Indians155291.795.313.31.9 Braves150781.534.92.00.8 Tigers144968.70.20.00.0 Athletics153287.227.62.70.8 SellersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number Marlins145068.90.10.00.0 Brewers152285.051.94.21.2 Mariners151984.440.63.11.0 Dodgers156494.265.611.01.8 Rockies151583.336.52.50.9 Although the share of prospects in the hands of top teams isn’t a perfect predictor of how many deadline deals will go down,3Since 2009, its correlation with the share of all trades that happened at the deadline was 0.36. it does speak broadly to the ability of contenders to act on the advice that their Doyle Number would recommend. In 2016, for instance, the Cubs’ surplus of top prospects — and urgency to win a World Series after a 108-year dry spell — led Chicago to trade a number of gifted farmhands (headlined by stellar 2018 rookie Gleyber Torres) to the Yankees for a few months’ rental of closer Aroldis Chapman.It wasn’t the first time that future talent was pawned off for an immediate payoff, and it was far from the last. Because of their low pay and endless promise, minor leaguers serve as the ultimate grease in the wheels of the trade-deadline machine. And they may yet help smooth along another blockbuster in the next few hours, perhaps one including Bryce Harper, Jacob deGrom, J.T. Realmuto or Chris Archer. But if the deadline does end up feeling a little slower than we’d expect from the buyer/seller profiles implied by this year’s standings, it could just be because most of the buyers have already bought and the sellers have already sold.Check out our latest MLB predictions. Rays150581.20.60.00.0 Mets147073.40.10.00.0 Padres143966.60.00.00.0 Pirates150080.08.00.40.2 Blue Jays148576.70.00.00.0 Where each team stands at the 2018 deadlineTeams ranked by Doyle Number — how many future wins of talent a team should trade away to acquire 1 win this season Expected wins are derived from the team’s current Elo rating.Source: FanGraphs.com Cautious BuyersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number Twins149679.14.00.20.1 Orioles143265.00.00.00.0 Angels151783.81.50.10.0 This year’s crop of buyers is unusually robust — three teams have Doyle Numbers north of 2.0 (most recent years have usually had only one or two) and six teams are at or above a Doyle of 1.8 (when the typical year has two or three in that range). At the same time, 12 teams have Doyle Numbers that round to 0.0, compared with an average of nine in the previous three years we’ve been calculating the metric.It’s all a consequence of this supremely stratified, tank-tastic MLB season. On the one hand, you might imagine that such a surplus of buyers and sellers would pave the way for more trades than usual, since a lot of teams have their motivations aligned for deal-making. And there have been some notable moves made thus far: Manny Machado to the Dodgers, Cole Hamels to the Cubs, Ian Kinsler to the Red Sox, Mike Moustakas to the Brewers, J.A. Happ to the Yankees and so forth. But the particulars of this year’s market could also play some tricks with what we think of as ordinary deadline business, when we consider who has how much of which asset — long-term vs. short, young talent vs. established stars. Elite teams can only swap with rebuilding ones if they have the right prospects to send away, and there’s evidence that many of the best youngsters have already flowed from the contenders to the tankers before anybody had a chance to do their deadline shopping.To see this, we can look at how many members of Baseball America’s Top 100 prospects are in the farm systems of top teams, as opposed to everybody else. For each full season since 1990,2So, excluding partial seasons in 1994 and 1995. I gathered the list of top prospects and assigned each ranking slot its average future value, according to my research here. To focus on prospects that haven’t yet made a dent in the big leagues — i.e., the kind more likely to be thrown into deadline trades — I filtered out players who exhausted their rookie eligibility during the season in question (or, for this year, players who are on pace to do so). Finally, I calculated the percentage of leaguewide prospect value that belonged to teams in the top third of all MLB teams by projected end-of-season record (using our Elo ratings, as of July 30 each season). And this year, only 27.5 percent of prospect value is in the systems of top-tier teams, the lowest such mark in any full season since 1991. White Sox143766.00.00.00.0 Cardinals151383.06.60.40.2 Nationals152284.99.1%0.7%0.3 Solid BuyersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number Phillies150681.551.53.01.0 read more

Mens hockey Wisconsin solved Ohio States defense this week leading to Buckeyes

Ohio State senior forward Nick Schilkey takes a shot on net against Wisconsin in a Big Ten tournament semifinal in Detroit at Joe Louis Arena on March 17. Credit: Courtesy of Ric KruszynskiDETROIT — Less than a week ago, the Ohio State men’s hockey team was heading into a crucial away series at Wisconsin. Two losses meant the Buckeyes would probably have to win the Big Ten tournament to make the NCAA tournament. A split would keep the Buckeyes where they were — just outside the top 16 teams that make the tournament. But a series sweep meant OSU would be in excellent position for an at-large bid into the tournament.OSU outscored the Badgers 8-2 in that series, pulling off two huge road victories. On Friday at Joe Louis Arena in the Big Ten tournament semifinal, Wisconsin replicated OSU’s urgency from the week prior, which resulted in a physical 2-1 victory over the Buckeyes.“Last week, we were a little bit on our heels for the first time all year, as far as waiting to see how the game was going to be played.” Wisconsin coach Tony Granato said. “We played solid defensively and try to wear them down with forechecking and a lot of offensive zone shifts. The other plan was to stay out of the penalty box.”One could tell Wisconsin was playing with its season on the line on Friday, exemplified in its defense. The Wisconsin forwards pressured OSU to make long passes from its defensive zone and had active sticks along the boards against a team that has struggled all season to clear pucks from its own zone.“We tried to stretch it out too many times. We didn’t try to exploit their (defense) in their zone as much as we could’ve,” Schilkey said. “Just couldn’t get enough going offensively.”At Wisconsin, OSU’s transition-style offense systematically works better because the Badgers play on an Olympic-style rink, which is bigger than the NHL-regulated size the two teams played on at Joe Louis Arena. Speedster forwards such as senior Nick Schilkey and sophomore Mason Jobst, the conference’s scoring co-champion, didn’t have as much room to operate on the offensive end.“They like to throw guys up the ice and get into foot races,” said Wisconsin sophomore forward Luke Kunin. “I thought our forwards did a good job of keeping them back and staying in the middle, and our D did a good job of keeping them on the outside.”Jobst had four points last weekend against Wisconsin. On Friday, he had three shots and one assist on a powerplay. But except for one shot in the third period, Jobst wasn’t a major threat to Wisconsin freshman goaltender Jack Berry who was spectacular in net for the Badgers.“We tried to play defense last week” Granato said. “This week, we played defense by playing good offense. When it was in our end, we blocked those shots when we needed to, but we got it out quick.”The Buckeyes have relied on its offense for the entire season, and why shouldn’t they? Their powerplay ranks first in the nation, scoring on an absurd 32 percent of its chances, and the offense as a whole is ranked third in the nation with nearly four goals a game. Schilkey, Jobst and senior forward David Gust are the three leading goal scorers on a team that has seven players with double-digit goals.The penalty kill, which was fourth worst in the country before the game, has been OSU’s Achilles’ heel. But Friday, they were 3 for 3 — without counting senior defenseman Josh Healey’s five-minute major and game misconduct in the final minutes.One would think with the penalty kill taking care of business, OSU’s offense would find a way to get over the hump. But not on Friday. Not against a team that is fighting for an NCAA tournament bid.“Really throughout the whole game I thought when they pushed, we pushed harder,” Kunin said.The Badgers were sitting at No. 18 in the PairWise rankings. Now, they are just on the outside at No. 17, while the Buckeyes remain at No. 13.Now, it’s not like Wisconsin hadn’t had success against OSU this season. The Badgers swept OSU in January — one in Columbus and one at Madison Square Garden in New York. OSU coach Steve Rohlik said that Wisconsin attitude he saw in late January was present on Friday when it mattered most.“It was a playoff-type hockey game,” he said. “The score is going to be down and there’s going to be a chance either way. That’s how the game went tonight and that’s what I expected.” read more

Baseball Ohio State ends threegame skid shuts out Ohio University 30

Ohio State redshirt junior pitcher Yianni Pavlopoulos throws a pitch against Delaware on Feb. 18 in Osceola, Florida, during the Sunshine State Classic. Credit: Courtesy of OSU AthleticsComing off a three-game sweep at the hands of the Minnesota Golden Gophers, the Ohio State baseball team needed to build some momentum before their next Big Ten series against the Purdue Boilermakers.And though OSU’s offense did not muster many runs, the pitching staff of the Buckeyes was able to hold Ohio University to no runs on six hits in the team’s 3-0 victory. It was the first time OSU shutout their opponent this season.For OSU coach Greg Beals, the most important part about Tuesday’s game was just getting the win ahead of a crucial Big Ten matchup.“The biggest story for me in the day is that we got a victory, a much needed victory and a victory in which we pitched the ball very well and used multiple guys to do it,” Beals said. “It was one of those games where we wanted to get guys work, but we thought we needed to win also. We needed to get on winning ways. We needed to change the air and the only way to do that is to have some success and win a ballgame.”It took a while, but the scoreboard was finally lit up in the bottom of the fourth inning. With one away in the inning, sophomore catcher Jacob Barnwell attempted a stolen base of third and was successful. The throw by the catcher was errant, deflecting off the third baseman’s glove into foul territory and allowing Barnwell to run home and score the Buckeyes’ first run of the game. That one run was all the Buckeyes would need for redshirt junior starting pitcher Austin Woodby, who was lights out in his controlled midweek start. He was limited to only 45 pitches by the coaching staff, but was able to make the most of those pitches. Woodby gave his team 4.2 shutout innings and allowed just three hits and no walks with one strikeout.“Tonight was definitely a night where I felt confident in my fastball,” Woodby said. “I’ve been working on really just commanding the fastball in the bottom of the zone and just letting the defense work for me. I’ve got a great defense behind me and I felt very confident.”One thing that really stood out to Woodby was his ability to limit the opposition to zero walks.“Coach Stafford preaches no free bases. If you limit those walks then I think we’ll be in a good position to win,” Woodby said. “For me, this has been definitely a nice change as opposed to last year. I feel a lot more confident with the zone and throwing strikes and I think we’re headed in the right direction.”The Buckeyes got things going again three innings later. With the bases loaded and one out in the bottom of the seventh inning, Barnwell stepped up the plate and lined a base hit up the middle, scoring a pair. That at-bat was crucial for OSU in giving them some added insurance runs headed into the latter innings of the game, and Beals felt that was a strong at-bat from his young backstop.“Really just a quality at-bat,” Beals said. “The one thing I like about Barnie is I know where he’s going to compete . . . He’s a catcher first, he’s a catch-and-throw guy first, that’s what his bread and butter is, but he’s also given us a lot, just from a competitive standpoint in the batter’s box.”With the Buckeyes leading 3-0, Beals turned to redshirt junior reliever Yianni Pavlopoulos to try and keep the Bobcats off the scoreboard.Pavlopoulos surrendered singles to each of the first two batters he faced, the first hit being a line drive and the second being a bloop single.But after the first two reached base, Pavlopoulos was able to strike out the next two and coerce a lineout from the final batter of the inning and strand the runners on first and second base.Beals said Pavlopoulos has been going through a stretch with some pretty poor luck, but he was proud of the way his former closer fought back after the two hits and retired the side.“Poor Yianni, (if) he’s got any luck, it’s not really good luck right now,” Beals said. “He beats a guy with the fastball in and he lobs it into left field and very easily could have been an easy ground ball, and probably should have been. But he battled and made a couple big pitches to get some strikeouts and get out of that inning so good for him.”The key to getting the pitcher back on track will be to take them through step-by-step of what’s working and what isn’t, Beals said, and the same goes for Pavlopoulos’ struggles this season.“I think the thing that’s going to be critical for us as a coaching staff is to pull Yianni aside and have him look at his process. Look at where he was, the quality of his pitches,” Beals said. “The first hit was a hung breaking ball. Not a quality pitch. When he made quality pitches, he had good results other than the bleeder. But in our opinion, the way we look at it, that’s a win. He beat the bat and it just happens that way sometimes.”And for the first time in a long time, the bullpen was able to get back to 2016 form. As a unit, the bullpen allowed just three hits and one walk across five scoreless innings that included five strikeouts.Coming off his spotless start, Woodby feels confidence by the way the team’s bullpen pitched and he feels they are ready heading into the big weekend.“I’m feeling good about our bullpen,” Woodby said. “I think everyone threw well tonight so it just kind of gives us some confidence rolling into this weekend because it’s definitely three important games for us.”OSU hopes to build off this victory when they host Purdue University in its second Big Ten series of the season over the weekend. That matchup starts on Friday with first pitch scheduled for 6:35 p.m. read more

Police arrest 7 persons seize weapons ammo

first_imgKolkata: Howrah City Police have nabbed seven persons and seized many weapons on Monday night from two separate places.Two cases have been initiated at the Nischinda police station and Chatterjeehat police station in this regard. According to the police, on Tuesday night sleuths from Nischinda police station got a tip-off about a few persons, who were seen roaming suspiciously in the area. The police approached them, these persons tried to escape from the area on a yellow taxi and a private car. Also Read – Rs 13,000 crore investment to provide 2 lakh jobs: MamataBut, before they could give a slip to the police, sleuths surrounded them. All of them were immediately detained. During frisking of their vehicles, police found like one sword, bamboo sticks, one dagger, one country-made shooter firearm and two live ammunition mark 8 mm. All six of them immediately arrested under IPC Sections 399 (making preparation to commit dacoity), 402 (assembling for purpose of committing dacoity), and 25 (possessing of fire arms) and 27 of the Arms Act (punishment for using arms). Also Read – Lightning kills 8, injures 16 in stateIn another case on Monday, sleuths from Chatterjeehat police station arrested a person identified as Saniar Hossain Khan alias Lalu from Dumurjala Ring Road area and seized one firearm loaded with one round of live ammunition. It is suspected that he might have been targeting someone over some issues. He has been booked under IPC sections of 25(i)(a) Arms Act (manufactures, sells, or exposes or offers for sale or transfer, or has in his possession for sale any arms or ammunition) and 27 Arms Act (punishment for using arms).last_img read more

The graduation ceremony was held after a meeting t

first_imgThe graduation ceremony was held after a meeting to discuss andevaluate their workshop experience. Carlo Tralongo, one of the students from Roma Tre (Italian Promotion Project) received his certificate from Liz. A close-up of Marta and Patricia. Marta is holdingArcology – City in the Image of Man, which is now standard issue for each graduating workshop. Pictured: Brendan receives his certificate.last_img

This is the last time that a chain of people have

first_img This is the last time that a chain of people have to move the bronze ingots up the foundry. With the new access ramp, the delivery truck will be able to pull up right next to the ingot storage area.[Photo: Yuki Yanagimoto & text: sa] This new access ramp will lead up the furnace area.[Photo: Yuki Yanagimoto & text: sa] November 5, 2004 Project coordinator for Foundry improvements, David Tollas, and a crew of workshoppers and volunteers, prepare a new access ramp to the bronze bell production area.[Photo: Yuki Yanagimoto & text: sa]last_img